How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

April 29, 2026Addison Wiggin

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
How We're Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
Copper and resources are sending us a cleaner market signal than AI stocks. Channeling Ludwig von Mises, we observe this morning that price is not just a number; it’s information. Price reflects what buyers and sellers collectively believe: demand, scarcity, fear, speculation, disappointment, future expectations and available supply.

A VIX reading below 15 means the market is not pricing in much near-term trouble, even though there are obvious risks still sitting in the room: Iran, oil prices, memory chip speculation, circular financing, high valuations, epic high concentrations, spiking long-term interest rates, a regime change at the Fed, a meltdown in Japan and a historic deficit and rising national debt.

Money is not flowing in a clean, straight line from outside investors to productive businesses. The firms at the top are investing in and buying from each other.

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The Real AI Crisis
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The backlash against data centers is seeping into the midterm election year. But the real issue is energy production and grid capacity…

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The AI rollout needs energy. And nuclear’s ability to offer clean, cheap, abundant power makes it a complete no-brainer.


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The rise in risk during the AI boom has a familiar smell, but it’s not the same odor as the one that permeated the mortgage market in 2008…


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Globally, investors are demanding higher compensation to lend to governments. If the trend holds, it will exert further pressure on stocks…

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As Wall Street waits on Alphabet’s earnings, one valuation metric is flashing a warning that echoes the excesses of the dot-com era…

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There are plenty of ways to trade stocks. But some of the best investment opportunities today include income-producing energy plays…

Gold As Money
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Paper money always looks permanent — right up until it isn’t. When confidence in it fades, gold has a habit of becoming interesting again…

Denial Before The Act
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Without Trump, America would still have partisan fights over voting rules. Last night, he became the first to brand it with his name…

From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive

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